CNP: Beijing’s Self-Defeating Strategic Methodology
Commentary
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is paying a significant price for relying on its flawed methodology of Comprehensive National Power (CNP) computation to forecast and rate strategic threats and opportunities.
The methodology of the Comprehensive National Power system was developed and briefly popularized, albeit not by the CNP name, by Western political risk analysts in the 1980s and ’90s, out of earlier U.S. intelligence community attempts to understand the global strategic framework. It was gradually discarded or moved into the background because results proved it to be unrealistic as a single framework to forecast human behavior on a large scale….